Study Guide

Objective

The student is able to recognise and forecast different evolutionary trends. The student is able to interpret how changes in consumer habits, market and technology as well as innovations influence their own professional field. The student understands the importance of their own choices and social choices in the creation of the future. The student is able to produce in a group a scenario report on an optional subject area.

Content

- Forecasting methods (futures table, images of the future, scenario, futures workshop, Delfoi)
- Forecasting as a strategic tool
- Choices as an element in the creation of the future
- Trends, mega-trends
- Changes in the operational environment
- Group work

Evaluation scale

1-5

Assessment criteria, satisfactory (1)

The student recognises different future scenario models and mega-trends. The student is able to write a scenario report in a group.

Assessment criteria, good (3)

The student searches for relevant information about the subject area in a diverse way and is able to derive from it credible images of the future for a scenario report. The student sees the factors influencing the operational environment in their own field and is able to assess their impacts on the development of the field.

Assessment criteria, excellent (5)

The student is able to use an applicable forecasting method and bring out significant drivers and to form , with the help of them, credible alternative images of the future as well as to outline, also at a practical level, development paths for a scenario report. The student is able to apply scenarios as a development tool in practical-level choices. The student sees the factors influencing the operational environment in their own field and is able to assess their impacts on the development of the field.