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Forecasting MethodsLaajuus (4 cr)

Code: 2B00BP37

Objective

The student is able to recognise and forecast different evolutionary trends. The student is able to interpret how changes in consumer habits, market and technology as well as innovations influence their own professional field. The student understands the importance of their own choices and social choices in the creation of the future. The student is able to produce in a group a scenario report on an optional subject area.

Content

- Forecasting methods (futures table, images of the future, scenario, futures workshop, Delfoi)
- Forecasting as a strategic tool
- Choices as an element in the creation of the future
- Trends, mega-trends
- Changes in the operational environment
- Group work

Assessment criteria, satisfactory (1)

The student recognises different future scenario models and mega-trends. The student is able to write a scenario report in a group.

Assessment criteria, good (3)

The student searches for relevant information about the subject area in a diverse way and is able to derive from it credible images of the future for a scenario report. The student sees the factors influencing the operational environment in their own field and is able to assess their impacts on the development of the field.

Assessment criteria, excellent (5)

The student is able to use an applicable forecasting method and bring out significant drivers and to form , with the help of them, credible alternative images of the future as well as to outline, also at a practical level, development paths for a scenario report. The student is able to apply scenarios as a development tool in practical-level choices. The student sees the factors influencing the operational environment in their own field and is able to assess their impacts on the development of the field.

Enrollment

22.04.2024 - 09.10.2024

Timing

21.10.2024 - 18.12.2024

Credits

4 op

Virtual proportion (cr)

3 op

Teaching languages
  • Finnish
Degree programmes
  • Bachelor of Culture and Arts, Cultural Management
Teachers
  • Jaana Liukkonen
Scheduling groups
  • Avoin AMK (Ei koske tutkinto-opiskelijaa) (Size: 10. Open UAS: 10.)
Student groups
  • KUTU21
Education groups
  • Open UAS (Doesn't apply to degree student)

Objective

The student is able to recognise and forecast different evolutionary trends. The student is able to interpret how changes in consumer habits, market and technology as well as innovations influence their own professional field. The student understands the importance of their own choices and social choices in the creation of the future. The student is able to produce in a group a scenario report on an optional subject area.

Content

- Forecasting methods (futures table, images of the future, scenario, futures workshop, Delfoi)
- Forecasting as a strategic tool
- Choices as an element in the creation of the future
- Trends, mega-trends
- Changes in the operational environment
- Group work

Evaluation scale

1-5

Assessment criteria, satisfactory (1)

The student recognises different future scenario models and mega-trends. The student is able to write a scenario report in a group.

Assessment criteria, good (3)

The student searches for relevant information about the subject area in a diverse way and is able to derive from it credible images of the future for a scenario report. The student sees the factors influencing the operational environment in their own field and is able to assess their impacts on the development of the field.

Assessment criteria, excellent (5)

The student is able to use an applicable forecasting method and bring out significant drivers and to form , with the help of them, credible alternative images of the future as well as to outline, also at a practical level, development paths for a scenario report. The student is able to apply scenarios as a development tool in practical-level choices. The student sees the factors influencing the operational environment in their own field and is able to assess their impacts on the development of the field.

Enrollment

17.04.2023 - 06.09.2023

Timing

23.10.2023 - 17.12.2023

Credits

4 op

Virtual proportion (cr)

3 op

Teaching languages
  • Finnish
Degree programmes
  • Bachelor of Culture and Arts, Cultural Management
Teachers
  • Jaana Liukkonen
Student groups
  • KUTU20

Objective

The student is able to recognise and forecast different evolutionary trends. The student is able to interpret how changes in consumer habits, market and technology as well as innovations influence their own professional field. The student understands the importance of their own choices and social choices in the creation of the future. The student is able to produce in a group a scenario report on an optional subject area.

Content

- Forecasting methods (futures table, images of the future, scenario, futures workshop, Delfoi)
- Forecasting as a strategic tool
- Choices as an element in the creation of the future
- Trends, mega-trends
- Changes in the operational environment
- Group work

Evaluation scale

1-5

Assessment criteria, satisfactory (1)

The student recognises different future scenario models and mega-trends. The student is able to write a scenario report in a group.

Assessment criteria, good (3)

The student searches for relevant information about the subject area in a diverse way and is able to derive from it credible images of the future for a scenario report. The student sees the factors influencing the operational environment in their own field and is able to assess their impacts on the development of the field.

Assessment criteria, excellent (5)

The student is able to use an applicable forecasting method and bring out significant drivers and to form , with the help of them, credible alternative images of the future as well as to outline, also at a practical level, development paths for a scenario report. The student is able to apply scenarios as a development tool in practical-level choices. The student sees the factors influencing the operational environment in their own field and is able to assess their impacts on the development of the field.

Enrollment

16.04.2022 - 12.10.2022

Timing

24.10.2022 - 31.12.2022

Credits

4 op

Virtual proportion (cr)

4 op

Teaching languages
  • Finnish
Degree programmes
  • Bachelor of Culture and Arts, Cultural Management
Teachers
  • Jaana Liukkonen
Student groups
  • KUTU19

Objective

The student is able to recognise and forecast different evolutionary trends. The student is able to interpret how changes in consumer habits, market and technology as well as innovations influence their own professional field. The student understands the importance of their own choices and social choices in the creation of the future. The student is able to produce in a group a scenario report on an optional subject area.

Content

- Forecasting methods (futures table, images of the future, scenario, futures workshop, Delfoi)
- Forecasting as a strategic tool
- Choices as an element in the creation of the future
- Trends, mega-trends
- Changes in the operational environment
- Group work

Evaluation scale

1-5

Assessment criteria, satisfactory (1)

The student recognises different future scenario models and mega-trends. The student is able to write a scenario report in a group.

Assessment criteria, good (3)

The student searches for relevant information about the subject area in a diverse way and is able to derive from it credible images of the future for a scenario report. The student sees the factors influencing the operational environment in their own field and is able to assess their impacts on the development of the field.

Assessment criteria, excellent (5)

The student is able to use an applicable forecasting method and bring out significant drivers and to form , with the help of them, credible alternative images of the future as well as to outline, also at a practical level, development paths for a scenario report. The student is able to apply scenarios as a development tool in practical-level choices. The student sees the factors influencing the operational environment in their own field and is able to assess their impacts on the development of the field.